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For the first time since 1994, third-placed teams in the World Cup group stage can advance. With 48 teams and a new knockout round, eight of 12 third-placed finishers progress. Historical data suggests three points may not be enough, with goal difference often decisive.
BBC Sport football expert Chris Sutton has released his score predictions for the first round of group games at the 2026 World Cup, offering early insights into potential outcomes.
Brazil, England and Spain face lower-ranked opponents in the 2026 World Cup group stage, with ranking gaps of up to 77 places. History shows rankings guarantee nothing, as past upsets like Saudi Arabia vs Argentina prove.