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World Cup · Group Stage · Matchday 3

Türkiye vs USA — Match prediction

Türkiye#4 · 0 pts
26.06.202602:00UTCSoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
USA#1 · 0 pts

Probabilities

Home win 50% Draw 50% Away win 0%

Prediction

Türkiye (Win or draw)

Double chance : Türkiye or draw

Expert analysis

Mike TurnerFootball Enthusiast

Neither side has recent form data available, making this fixture difficult to assess through momentum. Türkiye enter the match with no recorded results to analyse, while the USA similarly lack a recent competitive run. The absence of form lines means the match will likely be decided by tactical setup and individual quality on the day.

The win probabilities are split evenly at 50% each for a home win or a draw, with the away side given a 0% chance of victory. This statistical outlook suggests a tight contest where the USA are not expected to take all three points. The model percentages point strongly toward Türkiye avoiding defeat, with the double chance recommendation backing either a home win or a draw.

Head-to-head history reinforces that view. The home side hold a perfect 100% record in previous meetings, with the only listed encounter ending in a 2-1 victory for Türkiye over the USA. That single result provides a small but notable historical edge.

Based on the probabilities and the model pick, the most reasonable conclusion is that Türkiye will extend their unbeaten run against the USA. A home win or a draw is the advised outcome, consistent with the data showing no expectation of an American victory.

Team comparison

100%Head-to-head0%
67%Goals33%

Last meetings

  1. 07.06.2025USA1–2Türkiye

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Predictions are based on statistical models and do not guarantee the result.

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